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It is currently Fri May 24, 2013 1:07 pm
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StarlightCoast
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Post subject: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 5:28 am |
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| ATM |
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Joined: Mon Jun 26, 2006 5:54 pm Posts: 47
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PokerStars Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (10 handed) - Converter Tool Preflop: Hero is BB with 7  , 3 UTG raises, UTG+1 3-bets, 2 folds, MP2 caps, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Button calls, [color=#666666][i] Hero????Pot odds of 9:1!!! But what do you do? Flopping top pair is reasonably not a consideration, and we are getting the odds to flop a flush draw, but with two suited cards it is 14.6:1 that I will hit a flush by the river.
This type of hand also has straight possibilitities, but unless you flop a straight outright your looking at a gutshot draw at best. But so much money in the pot and with what has transpired preflop, even if i do get a draw, chances are it's going to cost me a few bucks to chase it down. So what is the general consensus? Too much in the pot to let it go, or too much oncoming foolishness to try something with a 37s?.
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clayshooter22
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 5:38 am |
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Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2005 4:31 pm Posts: 695 Location: right behind you......
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Wow, really.
Here is what I think.
ARE YOU HIGH? ok, even if you make a straight...you will not have the nuts by having only one end. Anyone playing 7-8 suited has you DOMINATED.
THEN, even if you flush...with this many callers you can't think you have the best flush.
Flopping pair, even top pair? You know someone is playing a higher pair, right?
Seriously, you best hope is rainbow board that pairs both cards....BUT there is a higher pair just waiting for a board pair, right?
You cannot eliminate any hands from the betting pattern can you?
Middle pairs, two suited cards, BIG PAIRS, it's all live and you're gonna go 4 bets into a 5 way pot.....
and you're still thinking about it?
Let it go man. There will be a better spot.
Do you use pokertracker?
Clay
_________________ UB: CLAYSHOOTER AP: CLAYSHOOOTER PS: FITASCChamp
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StarlightCoast
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 5:54 am |
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| ATM |
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Joined: Mon Jun 26, 2006 5:54 pm Posts: 47
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Geez I was only trying to post something i thought might be a good discussion about pot odds, and implied odds. i thought it would be a good discussion for newer players to see. of course i folded it.
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sharkarmy
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 6:07 am |
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| FNG-Jiggy Fan Club Member! |
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Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:12 pm Posts: 7428 Location: Golf Course
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StarlightCoast
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 6:43 am |
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| ATM |
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Joined: Mon Jun 26, 2006 5:54 pm Posts: 47
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A one gap suited connector and I am calling this every day and 3 times on Sunday.
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sharkarmy
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 6:51 am |
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| FNG-Jiggy Fan Club Member! |
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Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:12 pm Posts: 7428 Location: Golf Course
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runnergirl
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 1:03 pm |
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| General, Shark Army |
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Joined: Sun Apr 30, 2006 3:04 pm Posts: 518
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I love my suited connectors when playing at the limit table however this is an easy fold hand.
You're probably looking at someone at the least having 99 or better and and even better flush draw.
_________________ What of your own fires?
Last edited by runnergirl on Sat May 09, 2009 2:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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clayshooter22
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 2:29 pm |
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| Right Tit |
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Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2005 4:31 pm Posts: 695 Location: right behind you......
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agree a better example is a one gapper, four and you can be sure any straight is not the nuts. Even a three gapper has a chance of being best str8
_________________ UB: CLAYSHOOTER AP: CLAYSHOOOTER PS: FITASCChamp
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Skunk Monkey
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sat May 09, 2009 2:34 pm |
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| Lt. Col. Shark Army |
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Joined: Sat Mar 28, 2009 3:49 pm Posts: 113 Location: The Zoo
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The problem with your thought process is that you are not computing the right odds. You may be dead in the water if you hit a straight or a flush here and what you are really looking for is the board to give you trips. Even then you are a question mark because you have to fear every high card on the board could be matching their pp and you lose to a full boat.
You have to let this hand go. Having two connecting suited connectors is a great situation, but you have that huge gap and the odds are way against you here. FNG suggests a one gapper is a much better fit and I agree, but I would want them connected with that kind of action out there. You know you are way behind and if your hand hits, you need to make sure you have the nuts.
_________________ Get off my ass or I will spray you with my evil scent!
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jigdog
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Sun May 10, 2009 11:26 am |
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| Left Tit |
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Joined: Sat Sep 09, 2006 8:22 pm Posts: 2695 Location: penny tables, with drinks in both hands any casion or bar i,or residence in las vegas
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i call and pray 654 clubs hits flop! and when it does then i laugh as all the other players call me a donkey as i leave the table with thier chips then i wake up and realize it was all a bad dream induced by hyppies smoking bongloads in my room while im sleeping pot odds are there but what about implied odds ,and all the other odds i dont understand I think pot odds are over rated in alot of cases! this would be one good case here! the numbers and math and verbeage is confusing to me but i think common sense can take alot of the pain out of thinking 
_________________ you gotta know when to hold um know when to fold um!
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StarlightCoast
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Mon May 11, 2009 5:11 am |
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| ATM |
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Joined: Mon Jun 26, 2006 5:54 pm Posts: 47
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Here's how the hand played out.PokerStars Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (10 handed) - Preflop: Hero is BB with 7  , 3 UTG raises, UTG+1 3-bets, 2 folds, MP2 caps, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Button calls, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls Flop: (21.5 SB) 6  , 4  , 5 (5 players)UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets, Button raises, UTG 3-bets, 1 fold, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, Button calls Arghhhhh! I would have flopped the straight. Please direct me to the nearest tallest building so i can leap off the top!!!Turn: (16.75 BB) 3 (4 players)UTG bets, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, Button calls River: (20.75 BB) 8 (4 players)UTG bets, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 1 foldTotal pot: $23.75 (23.75 BB) | Rake: $0.50 Don't remember the specific final results, but no one else had a straight and a very large pot would have been mine.
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sharkarmy
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Mon May 11, 2009 6:35 am |
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| FNG-Jiggy Fan Club Member! |
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Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:12 pm Posts: 7428 Location: Golf Course
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Omg that is amazing. lol. Unreal. I hope I don't start making these calls now. You see alot of this in Omaha and you just have to let it go and say to yourself "i made the right play, i made the right play, i made the right play"  You say this shortly after you realize it is a shitty rainy day and the tall building is an annoying ten minute drive away.
_________________ http://www.onlineshark.com/ http://www.sharkpokertour.com http://www.SharksVegasStrip.com
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runnergirl
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Mon May 11, 2009 6:06 pm |
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| General, Shark Army |
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Joined: Sun Apr 30, 2006 3:04 pm Posts: 518
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Well one of twenty won't make it a winning strategy  I'd be interested to see what the other two had, you don't have the results of the hand?
_________________ What of your own fires?
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StarlightCoast
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Tue May 12, 2009 5:35 am |
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| ATM |
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Joined: Mon Jun 26, 2006 5:54 pm Posts: 47
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I found the hand in my Poker Tracker complete with results. here you go. PokerStars Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (10 handed) - Preflop: Hero is BB with 7  , 3 UTG raises, UTG+1 3-bets, 2 folds, MP2 caps, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Button calls, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls Flop: (21.5 SB) 6  , 4  , 5 (5 players)UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets, Button raises, UTG 3-bets, 1 fold, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, Button calls Turn: (16.75 BB) 3 (4 players)UTG bets, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, Button calls River: (20.75 BB) 8 (4 players)UTG bets, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 1 foldTotal pot: $23.75 (23.75 BB) | Rake: $0.50 Results: UTG had A , A (one pair, Aces). MP2 mucked K , K (one pair, Kings). MP3 mucked Q , Q (one pair, Queens). Outcome: UTG won $23.25
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sharkarmy
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Post subject: Re: Such Great Odds, Do You See A Flop Posted: Tue May 12, 2009 6:33 am |
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| FNG-Jiggy Fan Club Member! |
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Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:12 pm Posts: 7428 Location: Golf Course
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